Peer-reviewed publications
2024
Nascimento, L., Godinho, C., Kuramochi, T. et al. Climate policy in 2023. Nat Rev Earth Environ (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-00541-1
2023
Nascimento, L., den Elzen, M., Kuramochi, T., Woollands, S., Dafnomilis, I., Moisio, M., Roelfsema, M., Forsell, N., & Araujo Gutierrez, Z. (2023). Comparing the Sequence of Climate Change Mitigation Targets and Policies in Major Emitting Economies. Journal of Comparative Policy Analysis: Research and Practice, 1–18. https://doi.org/10.1080/13876988.2023.2255151
2023
Nascimento, L. and Höhne, N. (2023) ‘Expanding climate policy adoption improves national mitigation efforts’, npj Climate Action, 2(1), p. 12. doi:10.1038/s44168-023-00043-8
2023
den Elzen, M. G. J., Dafnomilis, I., Hof, A. F., Olsson, M., Beusen, A., Botzen, W. J. W., Kuramochi, T., Nascimento, L., & Rogelj, J. (2023). The impact of policy and model uncertainties on emissions projections of the Paris Agreement pledges. Environmental Research Letters, 18(5), 54026. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acceb7
2022
Nascimento, L., Kuramochi, T., & Höhne, N. (2022). The G20 emission projections to 2030 improved since the Paris Agreement, but only slightly. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 27(6), 39. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-022-10018-5
2022
den Elzen, M., Dafnomilis, I., Forsell, N., Fragkos, P., Fragkiadakis, K., Höhne, N., Kuramochi, T., Nascimento, L., Roelfsema, M., van Soest, H., & Sperling, F. (2022). Updated nationally determined contributions collectively raise ambition levels but need strengthening further to keep Paris goals within reach. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 27(6), 33. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-022-10008-7
2022
Hans, F., Woollands, S., Nascimento, L., Höhne, N., & Kuramochi, T. (2022). Unpacking the COVID-19 rescue and recovery spending: an assessment of implications on greenhouse gas emissions towards 2030 for key emitters. Climate Action, 1(1), 3. https://doi.org/10.1007/s44168-022-00002-9
2022
Best, B., Thema, J., Zell-Ziegler, C., Wiese, F., Barth, J., Breidenbach, S., Nascimento, L., & Wilke, H. (2022). Building a database for energy sufficiency policies. F1000Research, 11, [229]. https://doi.org/10.12688/f1000research.108822.1
2021
Nascimento, L., Kuramochi, T., Iacobuta, G., den Elzen, M., Fekete, H., Weishaupt, M., van Soest, H., Roelfsema, M., de Vivero-Serrano, G., Lui, S., Hans, F., Jose de Villafranca, M., & Höhne, N. (2021). Twenty years of climate policy: G20 coverage and gaps. Climate Policy. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2021.1993776
2021
Kuramochi, T., Nascimento, L., Moisio, M., den Elzen, M., Forsell, N., van Soest, H., Tanguy, P., Gonzales, S., Hans, F., Jeffery, L., Fekete, H., Schiefer, T., de Villafranca Casas, M. J., de Vivero-Serrano, G., Dafnomilis, I., Roelfsema, M., & Höhne, N. (2021). Greenhouse gas emission scenarios in nine key non-G20 countries: An assessment of progress toward 2030 climate targets. Environmental Science and Policy, 123, 67-81. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2021.04.015
2021
Lui, S., Kuramochi, T., Smit, S., Roelfsema, M., Hsu, A., Weinfurter, A., Chan, S., Hale, T., Fekete, H., Jose, M., Casas, D. V., Nascimento, L., Sterl, S., Höhne, N., Lui, S., Kuramochi, T., Smit, S., Roelfsema, M., Hsu, A., … Correcting, N. H. (2021). Correcting course : the emission reduction potential of international cooperative initiatives. https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2020.1806021
2020
Ghorbani, A., Nascimento, L., & Filatova, T. (2020). Growing community energy initiatives from the bottom up: Simulating the role of behavioural attitudes and leadership in the Netherlands. Energy Research and Social Science, 70, [101782]. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2020.101782
Selected policy reports
2023
Röser, F., Höhne, N., Nascimento, L., & Hagemann, M. (2023). Five major shifts since the Paris Agreement that give hope in a just, Paris-compatible transition: A look back. https://newclimate.org/resources/publications/five-major-shifts-since-the-paris-agreement-that-give-hope-in-a-just-paris
2023
Nascimento, L., Kuramochi, T., Woollands, S., Dafnomilis, I., Hooijschuur, E., den Elzen, M., Forsell, N., Araujo Gutiérrez, Z., Moisio, M., Missirliu, A., Wong, J., de Villafranca, M. J., Hans, F., De Vivero, G., Fekete, H., Pelekh, N., Lui, S., Godinho, C., Bos, A., … Höhne, N. (2023). Greenhouse gas mitigation scenarios for major emitters. Analysis of current climate policies and mitigation commitments: 2023 update. https://newclimate.org/resources/publications/emissions-scenarios-for-major-economies-2023-update
2023
Nascimento, L., Posada, E., Jeffery, L., & Moosmann, L. (2023). Greenhouse gas emission distributions: Informing the Global Stocktake (2021-2023). https://www.umweltbundesamt.de/publikationen/greenhouse-gas-emission-distributions
2022
Burck, J., Uhlich, T., Bals, C., Höhne, N., Nascimento, L., Tavares, M., & Strietzel, E. (2022). Climate Change Performance Index 2023. https://ccpi.org/download/climate-change-performance-index-2023/
2022
Nascimento, L., Kuramochi, T., Dafnomilis, I., Woollands, S., den Elzen, M., Hooijschuur, E., Forsell, N., Gutiérrez, Z. A., Gusti, M., Moisio, M., Hans, F., De Vivero-Serrano, G., Gonzales-Zuñiga, S., Lui, S., Wong, J., Lui, S., Smit, S., & Höhne, N. (2022). Greenhouse gas mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries. Analysis of current climate policies and mitigation commitments: 2022 Update. NewClimate Institute, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency and International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. https://newclimate.org/resources/publications/emissions-scenarios-for-major-economies-2022-update
2022
Jeffery, L., & Nascimento, L. (2022). Introducing performance distribution tools to visualise collective progress towards mitigation goals the Paris Agreement. NewClimate Institute. https://newclimate.org/sites/default/files/2022-06/NewClimate_Introducing performance distributions to visualise collective progress towards mitigation goals of the Paris Agreement_2Pager_June22.pdf
2021
Burck, J., Uhlich, T., Bals, C., Höhne, N., Nascimento, L., Tamblyn, A., & Reuther, J. (2021). Climate Change Performance Index. Results 2022. https://ccpi.org/download/climate-change-performance-index-2022-2/
2021
Nascimento, L., Forsell, N., Batka, M., Kuramochi, T., Illenseer, N., Lancesseur, N., & Subtil, C. (2021). Tracking climate mitigation efforts in 30 major emitters: Economy-wide projections and progress on key sectoral policies. https://newclimate.org/publications/
2021
NewClimate Institute, Data-Driven EnviroLab, Utrecht University, German Development Institute/Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE), CDP, Blavatnik School of Government at University of Oxford, Kuramochi, T., Smit, S., Hans, F., Horn, J., Lütkehermöller, K., Nascimento, L., Emmrich, J., Höhne, N., Hsu, A., Mapes, B., Wang, X., Roelfsema, M., Chan, S., … Hale, T. (2021). Global climate action from cities, regions and businesses. 2021 edition. https://newclimate.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/NewClimate_GCC_June21_2.pdf
2021
Nascimento, L., Kuramochi, T., van Soest, H., Dafnomilis, I., den Elzen, M., Forsell, N., Batka, M., Gusti, M., Moisio, M., Hans, F., de Vivero-Serrano, G., Gonzales-Zuñiga, S., Smit, S., Schiefer, T., Lui, S., Mooldijk, S., Wong, J., de Castro Dias, E., Höhne, N., … Gusti, M. (2021). Greenhouse gas mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries. Analysis of current climate policies and mitigation commitments: 2021 Update. NewClimate Institute, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency and International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. https://newclimate.org/2021/10/07/ghg-mitigation-scenarios-for-major-emitting-countries-analysis-of-current-climate-policies-2021-update/
2020
Fekete, H., Nascimento, L., & Kachi, A. (2020). Aligning Multilateral Development Banks’ Operations with the Paris Agreement’s Mitigation Objectives. https://newclimate.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/MDBmemos-BB6-InternalOperations.pdf
2020
Nascimento, L., Kachi, A., Mooldijk, S., & Warnecke, C. (2020). Renewable heating virtual Article 6 pilot - Ground source heat pumps in Khovd, Mongolia. https://newclimate.org/2020/01/29/renewable-heating-virtual-article-6-pilot-ground-source-heat-pumps-in-khovd-mongolia/
2020
Nascimento, L., Kurdziel, M., Fekete, H., Hagemann, M., & Vivero, G. de. (2020). Decreasing costs of renewables - Implications for Argentina’s climate targets.
2020
Hans, F., Nascimento, L., Schiefer, T., Gonzales, S., Bir Shrestha, H., & Röser, F. (2020). The Mongolian electricity sector in the context of international climate mitigation efforts.
2020
Moisio, M., van Soest, H., Forsell, N., Nascimento, L., de Vivero-Serrano, G., Gonzales-Zuñiga, S., Hans, F., Lui, S., Schiefer, T., Mooldijk, S., Vivero, G. de, Gonzales, S., Höhne, N., Batka, M., Dafnomilis, I., den Elzen, M., & Kuramochi, T. (2020). Overview of recently adopted mitigation policies and climate-relevant policy responses to COVID-19: 2020 update (Issue October). https://newclimate.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/NewClimate_PBL-CLIMA_2020OctUpdate.pdf
2019
Fekete, H., & Nascimento, L. (2019). Bringing climate policy up to date – decreasing cost projections for renewable energy and batteries and their implications - Case study Chile (Issue May). https://newclimate.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/Bringing-climate-policy-up-to-date-–-decreasing-cost-projections-for-renewable-energy-and-batteries-and-their-implications-Case-study-Chile.pdf
2019
Höhne, N., de Villafranca, M. J., Nascimento, L., Kuramochi, T., Hans, F., Luna, L., Fekete, H., & Warnecke, C. (2019). A possible 2050 climate target for the EU. https://newclimate.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/EU2050_Target_Adequacy.pdf
2019
Ryfisch, D., Bartosch, S., Voß, M., Paul, J., Affana, B., Fekete, H., Kachi, A., Röser, F., Nascimento, L., Westphal, M., Sidner, L., Ryfisch, D., Bartosch, S., Voß, M., Paul, J., Affana, B., Fekete, H., Kachi, A., Hagemann, M., … Sidner, L. (2019). Raising the Game on Paris Alignment. https://newclimate.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/Raising-the-Game-on-Paris-Alignment-Discussion-Paper-Series-1.pdf
2019
Fekete, H., Kuramochi, T., Nascimento, L., Tewari, R., Ancygier, A., Connors, K., Kästner, A., Parra, P., Zamarioli, L., Denishchenkova, A., Wachsmuth, J., Duwe, M., Zelljadt, E., & Freundt, M. (2019). Assessment of the potentials to increase emissions reduction targets by the major GHGs emitters taking into consideration technological and political feasibility (In the Framework of the Project “Implikationen Des Pariser Klimaschutzabkommens Auf Nationale Klimaschutzanstrengungen”).
2018
Kuramochi, T., Fekete, H., Luna, L., de Villafranca Casas, M. J., Nascimento, L., Hans, F., Höhne, N., van Soest, H., den Elzen, M., Esmeijer, K., Roelfsema, M., Forsell, N., Turkovska, O., & Gusti, M. (2018). Greenhouse gas mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries. Analysis of current climate policies and mitigation commitments: 2018 update. NewClimate Institute, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency and International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. https://newclimate.org/2018/12/05/greenhouse-gas-mitigation-scenarios-for-major-emitting-countries-analysis-of-current-climate-policies-and-mitigation-commitments-2018-update/
2018
Day, T., Gonzales-Zuñiga, S., Nascimento, L., Höhne, N., Fekete, H., Sterl, S., Hans, F., Warembourg, A., Anica, A., & van Breevoort, P. (2018). Climate Opportunity: More Jobs; Better Health; Liveable Cities.